Publications
PUBLICATIONS
Gergis, J. and Fowler, A. (2005). Classification of synchronous oceanic and atmospheric El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events for palaeoclimate reconstruction. International Journal of Climatology, 25: 1541–1565. Download an updated version of the Coupled ENSO Index (CEI) timeseries here.
Gergis, J., Fowler, A., Braganza, K., Risbey, J. and Mooney, S (2006). Reconstructing El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) from high-resolution palaeoarchives. Journal of Quaternary Science, 21(7):707-722. * This paper was the 4th most cited paper in JQS in 2006.
Gergis, J. and Fowler, A. (2006). How unusual was late Twentieth Century El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)? Assessing evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice and documentary archives, A.D. 1525-2002. Advances in Geosciences, 6: 173-179.
Gergis, J. (2006). Reconstructing El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice core and documentary palaeoarchives, A.D. 1525-2002. PhD Thesis, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Australia.
Gergis, J., Boswijk, G. and Fowler, A. (2005). An update of modern Northland Kauri (Agathis australis) tree-ring chronologies Part 1: Puketi State Forest. New Zealand tree-ring Site Report No.19 School of Geography and Environmental Science Working Paper 29, University of Auckland, New Zealand.
Gergis, J., Boswijk, G. and Fowler, A. (2005). An update of modern Northland Kauri (Agathis australis) tree-ring chronologies Part 2: Trounson Kauri Park. New Zealand tree-ring Site Report No. 20, School of Geography and Environmental Science Working Paper 30, University of Auckland, New Zealand.
Gergis, J. (2006). Reconstructing El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice core and documentary palaeoarchives, A.D. 1525-2002. Quaternary Australasia 24(1):14.
Braganza, K., Gergis, J., Risbey, J., Fowler, A., Turney, C. and Nicholls, N. (2006). Palaeo-evidence of historic Australian climate variability. Climatic Change Research in the Bureau of Meteorology, BMRC Research Report No. 125 p7-8, Bureau of Meteorology Australia.
Gergis, J. (2007). A report on the 2nd International Young Scientists’ Global Change Conference and the 2nd Earth System Science Partnership’s Open Science Conference, Nov 5-12th 2006, Beijing, China. Quaternary Australasia, 24(2):40-42.
Fowler, A.M., Boswijk, G., Gergis, J. and Lorrey, A. (2008). ENSO history recorded in Agathis australis (Kauri) tree-rings Part A: Kauri’s potential as an ENSO proxy. International Journal of Climatology 28(1):1–20.
Fowler, A.M. (2008). ENSO history recorded in Agathis australis (Kauri) tree-rings Part B: 423 years of ENSO robustness. International Journal of Climatology 28(1):21–35.
Gergis, J. and Fowler, A. (2009). A history of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events since A.D. 1525; implications for future climate change. Climatic Change 92(3): 343-387.
Braganza, K., J. L. Gergis, S. B. Power, J. S. Risbey, and A. M. Fowler (2009), A new basin-wide multi-proxy index of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982, Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research Technical Report No 005: 1–74.
Braganza, K., Gergis, J., Power, S., Risbey, J. and Fowler, A. (2009). A multiproxy index of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982, Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres) D05106, doi:10.1029/2008JD010896: p1-17.
Gergis, J. (2008). Documentary accounts of the impacts of past climate variability on the early colony of New South Wales, 1788–1791: a preliminary analysis. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society, 21(5), 103-107.
Gergis, J. (2009). Leaping forward through the past: how historical documents can help scientists understand climate change. University of Melbourne Collections, 4 42-44.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J. and Allan, R.J. (2009). A climate reconstruction of Sydney Cove, New South Wales, using weather journal and documentary data, 1788–1791. Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal 58 83-98.
Gell, P., Gergis, J. Mills, K., Baker, P., De Deckker, P., Finlayson, M., Hesse, P., Jones, R., Kershaw, P., Pearson, S., Treble, P., Barr, C., Brookhouse, M., Drysdale, R., Haberle, S. Karoly, D.J., McDonald, J., Reid, M., Thoms, M., and Tibby, J. (2009). Palaeocliamte studies relevant to natural resource management in the Murray–Darling Basin, in Murray‐Darling Basin Authority Science Review, Canberra, Australia.
Gergis, J., Garden, D. and Fenby, C. (2010). The influence of climate on the first European settlement of Australia: a comparison of weather journals, documentary data and palaeoclimate records, 1788–1793. Environmental History, 15(3):1–23.
Gergis, J. and Gallant A. (2010). Communicating climate change: advice from Science meets Parliament 2010. Bulletin of the Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society 22 (2):4–6
Gergis, J. (2010) Salvaging sunken treasure. SL Magazine, State Library of New South Wales, Winter 2010, 18-21.
Gergis, J., Gallant, A., Braganza, K., Karoly, D.J., D’Arrigo, R., Allen, K., Cullen, L., Grierson, P. and Goodwin, I. (2010). A 206-year multi-proxy rainfall reconstruction for south-eastern Australia: evidence for a changing relationship with ENSO and decadal Pacific variability. Climate Dynamics (in review).
Gallant, A. and Gergis, J. (2010). An experimental streamflow reconstruction for the River Murray, Australia, 1783–1988. Water Resources Research (in review).
Gergis, J., Brohan, P. and Allan, R.J. (2010). The weather of the First Fleet voyage to Botany Bay, 1787–1788. Weather (in press).
MEDIA
Smith, D. (2007). A spot of time travel finds a golden result. Sydney Morning Herald, 1 February 2007.
NZ Press Association (2007). Kauri help build picture of El Niño variations. New Zealand Herald, 2 February 2007.
RMIT Openline (2007). RMIT student wins prestigious Wentworth scholarship, 24 August 2007.
Gergis, J. (2007). Portrait: The Weather Warrior (Karl Braganza). COSMOS magazine, issue 16 (June/July) 2007. See the ABC’s Catalyst profile based on this article.
Gergis, J. (2007). No more climate distractions. COSMOS online, 27 July 2007.
Gergis, J. (2007). Lessons of the elders. COSMOS magazine, issue 18 (Dec/Jan), p74–79.
Gergis, J. (2007). Backing Australia’s ability? Wet Ink, issue 9 (Dec/Jan), p14–15.
Karoly, D.J and Gergis, J. (2009). Turning up the heat. Sydney Morning Herald, 30 March 2009.
CONFERENCE PRESENTATIONS
Gergis, J. (2003). Late Twentieth Century El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the Context of Holocene Climate Change. Australasian Quaternary Association Biennial Conference, February 3-7 2003, Westport, New Zealand.
Gergis, J. Fowler, A., and Mooney, S. (2004). A Multiproxy Analysis of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Variability. 1st International CLIVAR (Climate Variability and Predictability) Science Conference, June 21-25 2004, Baltimore, USA.
Gergis, J. Fowler, A., and Mooney, S. (2004). A Multiproxy Approach to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Australasian Quaternary Association Biennial Conference, December 6-10 2004, Cradle Mountain, Australia.
Gergis, J., Fowler, A. and Mooney, S. (2005). A Multiproxy Analysis of El Niño-Southern Oscillation Variability. 1st Alexander Von Humboldt International Conference on the El Niño Phenomenon and its Global Impact, May 16-20 2005, Guayaquil, Ecuador.
Gergis, J., Fowler, A., Braganza, K., Risbey, J. and Mooney, S. (2005). Multiproxy approaches to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) reconstruction; integrating evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice and documentary archives, A.D. 1525-2002. Reconstructing Past Climates for Future Prediction: Integrating High-Resolution Palaeo Data for Meaningful Prediction in the Australasian Region, June 27-28, Canberra, Australia.
Gergis, J., Fowler, A., Braganza, K., Mooney, S. and Risbey, J. (2005). El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) since A.D. 1525: integrating evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice-core and documentary archives. PAGES 2nd Open Science Meeting: Palaeoclimate, Environmental Sustainability and Our Future, August 10-12, Beijing, China.
Braganza, K., Gergis, J., Risbey, J., and Fowler, A. (2006). El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) since A.D. 1525; evidence from tree-ring, coral and ice-core records. 13th Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS) National Conference Climate, Water and Sustainability, February 6-8, 2006 Newcastle, NSW. Australia.
Gergis, J., Braganza, K., Risbey, J., Fowler, A., and Mooney, S. (2006). Reconstructing El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO); evidence from tree-ring, coral and ice-core records, A.D. 1525-2002. A Workshop On Earth System Models Of Intermediate Complexity 20–21 February, 2006, Melbourne, Australia.
Gergis, J., Braganza, K., Risbey, J., Fowler, A., and Mooney, S. (2006). El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) since A.D. 1525; evidence from tree-ring, coral and ice-core records. 2nd International Young Scientists’ Global Change Conference, Beijing, China, 6– 8 November, 2006.
Gergis, J., Braganza, K., Risbey, J., Fowler, A., and Mooney, S. (2006). El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) since A.D. 1525; evidence from tree-ring, coral and ice-core records. 2nd Earth System Science Partnership’s Open Science Conference; Global Environmental Change: Regional Challenges, Beijing, China, November 9-12th, 2006.
Gergis J. and Fowler, A. (2007). Reconstructing El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Integrating evidence from tree-ring, coral, ice-core and documentary palaeoarchives, A.D. 1525-2002. XVll International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA) Congress, Cairns, Australia, 28 July – 3 August 2007.
Braganza, K., Gergis, J., Power, S., Risbey, J., and Fowler, A. (2007). A new basin-wide multi-proxy index of the El Nino Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982. XVll International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA) Congress, Cairns, Australia, 28 July – 3 August 2007.
Boswijk, G., Fowler, A., Lorrey, A., Gergis, J., and Palmer, J. (2007). Improving replication: the addition of new archaeological data to the late-Holocene kauri record. XVll International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA) Congress, Cairns, Australia, 28 July – 3 August 2007.
Fowler, A., Boswijk, G., Gergis, J., Lorrey, A., and Palmer, J. (2007). A multi-century ENSO reconstruction from kauri tree rings. XVll International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA) Congress, Cairns, Australia, 28 July – 3 August 2007.
Gergis, J. and Fowler, A. (2007). A history of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events since A.D. 1525; implications for future climate change. Climatic Changes in the Last 1500 Years: Their Impact on Pacific Islands, Honolulu, Hawaii, 13–15 November 2007.
Gergis, J., Fowler, A., Braganza, K., Power, S., Risbey, J. (2008). New Pacific basin-wide reconstructions of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982. Reconciling ENSO chronologies for the Past 500 Years, Papeete, Tahiti, 2–4 April 2008.
Gergis, J. and Karoly, D.J. (2008). Reconstructing temperature, rainfall and MSLP for southeastern Australia using palaeo, documentary and early weather station data. ARCNESS workshop on An integrated data-modelling approach to the Australasian Holocene, University of New South Wales 12–13 November 2008, Sydney, Australia.
Gergis, J.L. and Karoly, D.J., Braganza, K., Fowler, A.M. and Nicholls, N. (2009). Reconstructing temperature, rainfall and MSLP for southeastern Australia using palaeo, documentary and early weather station data. 9th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography: Extremes, Climate and Water in the Southern Hemisphere, 9–3 February 2009, Melbourne, Australia.
Braganza, K., J. L. Gergis, S. B. Power, J. S. Risbey, and A. M. Fowler (2009). A multi-proxy index of the El Niño Southern Oscillation, A.D. 1525-1982. 9th International Conference on Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography: Extremes, Climate and Water in the Southern Hemisphere, 9- 3 February 2009, Melbourne, Australia.
Gergis, J., and Karoly, D.J. (2009). The Southeast Australian Palaeoclimate Project, 2nd Atmospheric Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) Workshop, 1–3 April 2009, Lamington National Park, Queensland, Australia.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., Braganza, K., Allan, R., Turney, C., Lorrey, A. and Gallant, A. (2009). The Southeastern Australian Palaeoclimate Project, Murray–Darling Basin Authority Science Review: The Role of Palaeoscience in Natural Resource Management, 3–4 June 2009, Land and Water Australia, Canberra, Australia.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., Braganza, K., Allan, R., Turney, C., Lorrey, A. (2009). Reconstructing pre-20th century temperature, rainfall and pressure for the Australian region using palaeo, documentary and early instrumental data. Past Global Changes (PAGES) 1st Young Scientists Meeting, 6–7 July 2009, Oregon State University, Corvalis, USA.
Gergis, J., Turney, C., Kershaw, P. (2009). Australasian climate reconstructions of the past millennium. Past Global Changes (PAGES) Regional 2K network meeting, 7 July 2009, Oregon State University, Corvalis, USA.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., Braganza, K., Allan, R., Turney, C., Lorrey, A. (2009). Reconstructing pre-20th century temperature, rainfall and pressure for the Australian region using palaeo, documentary and early instrumental data. Past Global Changes (PAGES) 3rd Open Science Meeting, 6–7 July 2009, Oregon State University, Corvalis, USA.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., Gallant, A., Braganza, K. (2009). The south-eastern Australian palaeoclimate project, 3rd Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth (ACRE) workshop: data and data visualisation meeting, Met Office, Exeter, UK, 15–17 September 2009.
Gergis, J., Karoly, D.J., Gallant, A., Braganza, K. (2010). Reconstructing pre-20th century temperature, rainfall and pressure for the Australian region using palaeo, documentary and early instrumental data, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society’s 17 annual meeting, Australian National University, Canberra, UK, 27–29 January 2010.
Fenby, C., Garden, D., Gergis, J., and Karoly, D.J. (2010). A rainfall chronology for south eastern Australia, 1788–1860 , Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society’s 17 annual meeting, Australian National University, Canberra, UK, 27–29 January 2010.
Gergis, J., Gallant, A., Karoly, D.J., and Braganza, K. (2010). Reconstructing climates of the past 500 years using annually-resolved palaeoclimate records: methods, challenges and recent advances, Past Global Changes (PAGES) 1st Aus2k Regional Workshop: Towards data synthesis, University of Melbourne, Victoria Australia, 31 May–2 June 2010.